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Red91
151148.6
155925.6
493019.4
Blue61
379917.8
37834.6
99979.7
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1135601001502009161

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+34Teleop
+30Endgame
+30Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
9Leave9
2Coral scored#0
11Coral points0
20Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +23
13Coral scored#7
47Coral points26
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#1
6Processor points12
12Net points4
18Algae points16
65Total teleop42
Reef
6L4#3
3L3#2
3L2#1
3L1 · trough#1
19Game pieces#10
BargeBlue +4
6Cage & park10
6Total endgame10
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +30
0Foul points0
91Total score61

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48.60.9
49.148.2
Auto7.1
Teleop32.7
End8.7
red by 13.9
378
#16
34.60.9
31.030.1
Auto5.9
Teleop25.2
End3.5
Second
1559
#11
25.60.9
28.727.8
Auto5.4
Teleop15.0
End5.3
red by 7.8
3799
#23
17.80.7
16.515.8
Auto3.3
Teleop10.0
End4.4
Third
4930
#19
19.40.9
16.115.2
Auto5.5
Teleop13.2
End0.7
red by 9.7
9997
#24
9.71.1
12.211.1
Auto2.5
Teleop7.5
End0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
43%Auto oddsEarned48%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
81%Barge oddsMissed13%Barge oddsMissed