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Red144
300336.3
317374.0
150753.0
Blue89
42437.1
63930.3
205327.1
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18610405015020025014489

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+13Auto
+47Teleop
+59Endgame
+55Fouls
AutonomousRed +13
6Leave0
5Coral scored#3
24Coral points17
30Total auto17
TeleoperatedRed +34
22Coral scored#13
78Coral points48
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
6Processor points6
12Net points8
18Algae points14
96Total teleop62
Reef
12L4#6
9L3#6
3L2#3
3L1 · trough#1
31Game pieces#19
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +55
2Foul points6
144Total score89

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
74.01.5
67.666.2
Auto18.3
Teleop46.1
End9.6
red by 36.9
424
#12
37.11.5
34.332.8
Auto4.3
Teleop28.0
End4.8
Second
53.01.5
53.451.9
Auto10.5
Teleop35.0
End7.6
red by 22.7
639
#25
30.31.5
37.235.8
Auto4.1
Teleop22.1
End4.1
Third
3003
#15
36.31.5
39.938.4
Auto7.4
Teleop21.7
End7.2
red by 9.2
2053
#17
27.11.5
30.929.5
Auto9.7
Teleop17.2
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
96%Auto oddsEarned47%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
64%Coral oddsMissed19%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
93%Barge oddsEarned49%Barge oddsEarned