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Qual 202025 Rah Cha Cha Ruckus
Red104
57820.3
140546.0
222854.7
Blue161
318121.6
19145.7
34061.1
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1361296080100120160180104161

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+49
Endgame+57
Fouls+57
AutonomousBlue +14
6Leave0
2Coral scored#6
10Coral points30
16Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +35
14Coral scored#23
52Coral points81
3Processor algae#2
3Net algae#6
18Processor points12
12Net points24
30Algae points36
82Total teleop117
Reef
7L4#12
3L3#6
4L2#7
2L1 · trough#4
22Game pieces#37
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +57
0Foul points0
104Total score161

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2228
#8
54.71.9
55.5→53.5
Auto12.5
Teleop35.1
End7.0
blue by 6.4
340
#5
61.12.4
58.2→60.6
Auto16.5
Teleop36.9
End7.6
Second
1405
#22
46.01.9
44.2→42.2
Auto8.9
Teleop31.1
End6.0
red by 0.3
191
#7
45.72.4
37.5→39.9
Auto10.3
Teleop33.2
End2.2
Third
578
#27
20.31.9
21.9→20.0
Auto1.9
Teleop18.4
End-0.1
blue by 1.3
3181
#9
21.62.4
18.2→20.6
Auto4.1
Teleop16.7
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
82%Auto oddsEarned90%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
17%Coral oddsMissed54%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
72%Barge oddsMissed30%Barge oddsEarned