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Red137
159149.7
205327.1
151148.6
Blue146
222854.7
37834.6
19145.7
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14115250100200250137146

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
Teleop+7
Endgame+7
Fouls+9
AutonomousRed +21
3Leave3
8Coral scored#4
41Coral points20
44Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +28
14Coral scored#15
51Coral points53
2Processor algae#3
4Net algae#9
12Processor points18
16Net points36
28Algae points54
79Total teleop107
Reef
6L4#5
7L3#6
6L2#5
3L1 · trough#3
28Game pieces#31
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Penalties & totalBlue +9
0Foul points2
137Total score146

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.70.3
49.449.7
Auto14.2
Teleop31.5
End4.0
blue by 5.0
54.70.3
53.653.8
Auto12.5
Teleop35.1
End7.0
Second
48.60.3
48.348.6
Auto7.1
Teleop32.7
End8.7
red by 2.9
191
#7
45.70.3
44.644.9
Auto10.3
Teleop33.2
End2.2
Third
2053
#17
27.10.3
26.827.1
Auto9.7
Teleop17.2
End0.1
blue by 7.5
378
#16
34.60.3
33.533.8
Auto5.9
Teleop25.2
End3.5