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Red127
395117.6
34061.1
150753.0
Blue167
222854.7
37834.6
19145.7
55%Model gave it45%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions156148050100200250300127167

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+52
Endgame+40
Fouls+40
AutonomousBlue +14
0Leave9
5Coral scored#6
23Coral points28
23Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +38
16Coral scored#22
58Coral points80
2Processor algae#2
2Net algae#6
12Processor points12
8Net points24
20Algae points36
78Total teleop116
Reef
7L4#12
6L3#7
4L2#5
4L1 · trough#4
25Game pieces#36
BargeRed +12
26Cage & park14
26Total endgame14
Penalties & totalBlue +40
0Foul points0
127Total score167

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
340
#5
61.10.2
61.261.1
Auto16.5
Teleop36.9
End7.6
red by 6.4
54.70.8
52.853.6
Auto12.5
Teleop35.1
End7.0
Second
53.00.2
53.253.0
Auto10.5
Teleop35.0
End7.6
red by 7.3
191
#7
45.70.8
43.844.6
Auto10.3
Teleop33.2
End2.2
Third
3951
#20
17.60.2
17.817.6
Auto5.3
Teleop6.8
End5.6
blue by 17.0
378
#16
34.60.8
32.733.5
Auto5.9
Teleop25.2
End3.5