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Red174
301561.0
1022321.8
317374.0
Blue158
222854.7
37834.6
19145.7
77%Model gave it23%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions173146100200250174158

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+24Auto
+28Teleop
+16Endgame
+16Fouls
AutonomousRed +24
3Leave3
9Coral scored#4
44Coral points20
47Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +4
25Coral scored#23
89Coral points83
2Processor algae#3
5Net algae#4
12Processor points18
20Net points16
32Algae points34
121Total teleop117
Reef
15L4#12
9L3#7
6L2#4
4L1 · trough#4
41Game pieces#34
BargeBlue +12
6Cage & park18
6Total endgame18
Penalties & totalRed +16
0Foul points0
174Total score158

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
74.00.5
72.673.1
Auto18.3
Teleop46.1
End9.6
red by 19.3
54.70.6
53.854.4
Auto12.5
Teleop35.1
End7.0
Second
61.00.5
59.660.0
Auto18.3
Teleop36.8
End5.9
red by 15.3
191
#7
45.70.6
44.945.4
Auto10.3
Teleop33.2
End2.2
Third
21.80.5
20.320.8
Auto3.7
Teleop14.6
End3.4
blue by 12.9
378
#16
34.60.6
33.834.4
Auto5.9
Teleop25.2
End3.5