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Red225
752255.3
402873.9
595173.0
Blue157
313251.0
388029.6
151156.1
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions21914450100200250300225157

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+25Auto
+66Teleop
+68Endgame
+68Fouls
AutonomousRed +25
3Leave3
10Coral scored#5
52Coral points27
55Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +41
28Coral scored#22
100Coral points79
3Processor algae#3
9Net algae#4
18Processor points18
36Net points16
54Algae points34
154Total teleop113
Reef
15L4#6
12L3#10
7L2#7
4L1 · trough#4
50Game pieces#34
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +68
0Foul points0
225Total score157

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4028
#11
73.91.2
73.374.6
Auto19.4
Teleop47.5
End6.9
red by 17.7
1511
#44
56.10.5
57.958.3
Auto7.2
Teleop37.3
End11.7
Second
5951
#17
73.01.2
70.371.6
Auto19.2
Teleop44.0
End9.8
red by 22.1
3132
#58
51.00.5
53.954.4
Auto9.6
Teleop36.7
End4.6
Third
7522
#24
55.31.2
51.552.8
Auto10.6
Teleop41.5
End3.2
red by 25.7
3880
#73
29.60.5
27.227.7
Auto5.3
Teleop24.3
End-0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsEarned83%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
55%Coral oddsEarned11%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
94%Barge oddsEarned77%Barge oddsMissed