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Red279
198776.0
439185.6
234262.7
Blue253
721170.0
376772.0
83671.2
71%Model gave it29%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions239218150200250300279253

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+8Auto
+26Teleop
+26Endgame
+26Fouls
AutonomousRed +8
6Leave0
10Coral scored#10
52Coral points50
58Total auto50
TeleoperatedRed +18
36Coral scored#24
129Coral points87
6Processor algae#8
5Net algae#8
36Processor points48
20Net points32
56Algae points80
185Total teleop167
Reef
17L4#10
9L3#12
10L2#8
10L1 · trough#4
57Game pieces#50
Bargelevel
36Cage & park36
36Total endgame36
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +26
0Foul points0
279Total score253

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
85.62.8
82.184.9
Auto16.5
Teleop59.2
End9.9
red by 13.6
3767
#31
72.02.3
68.971.2
Auto16.2
Teleop48.1
End7.8
Second
76.02.8
73.175.9
Auto16.8
Teleop48.9
End10.3
red by 4.8
836
#20
71.22.3
66.168.4
Auto16.0
Teleop44.9
End10.3
Third
2342
#43
62.72.8
62.265.0
Auto14.2
Teleop39.5
End9.0
blue by 7.3
7211
#18
70.02.3
64.266.5
Auto11.4
Teleop47.2
End11.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
99%Auto oddsEarned98%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
97%Coral oddsEarned70%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
100%Barge oddsEarned98%Barge oddsEarned