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Red237
11740.0
2481103.1
634059.7
Blue182
170180.3
414364.5
234126.0
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions221181150200250300237182

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
+39Teleop
+49Endgame
+55Fouls
AutonomousRed +6
6Leave9
7Coral scored#6
37Coral points28
43Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +33
36Coral scored#25
130Coral points91
2Processor algae#3
5Net algae#5
12Processor points18
20Net points20
32Algae points38
162Total teleop129
Reef
17L4#8
7L3#11
11L2#7
8L1 · trough#5
50Game pieces#39
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +55
6Foul points0
237Total score182

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
103.11.5
99.0100.5
Auto25.7
Teleop65.5
End11.8
red by 22.8
1701
#35
80.30.3
77.377.6
Auto21.3
Teleop50.6
End8.4
Second
6340
#25
59.71.5
56.658.1
Auto10.9
Teleop39.4
End9.4
blue by 4.8
4143
#26
64.50.3
61.862.0
Auto13.2
Teleop43.9
End7.3
Third
117
#48
40.01.5
38.540.1
Auto5.7
Teleop30.5
End3.9
red by 14.0
2341
#57
26.00.3
24.524.8
Auto5.3
Teleop16.7
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
98%Auto oddsEarned96%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
67%Coral oddsEarned66%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
97%Barge oddsEarned79%Barge oddsEarned