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Red175
414632.3
580167.1
945937.6
Blue210
111481.0
285156.5
635848.9
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13921450100200250300175210

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+45
Endgame+35
Fouls+35
AutonomousBlue +14
6Leave0
4Coral scored#8
21Coral points41
27Total auto41
TeleoperatedBlue +31
23Coral scored#31
82Coral points113
5Processor algae#3
5Net algae#8
30Processor points18
20Net points32
50Algae points50
132Total teleop163
Reef
10L4#13
4L3#13
7L2#6
6L1 · trough#7
37Game pieces#50
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +35
0Foul points0
175Total score210

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5801
#51
67.12.2
64.967.0
Auto9.6
Teleop50.7
End6.7
blue by 13.9
81.01.0
82.983.9
Auto18.0
Teleop56.2
End6.8
Second
9459
#53
37.62.2
37.139.3
Auto9.1
Teleop25.4
End3.1
blue by 19.0
2851
#60
56.51.0
57.158.0
Auto7.0
Teleop48.2
End1.3
Third
4146
#59
32.32.2
29.531.6
Auto5.5
Teleop24.8
End2.0
blue by 16.6
6358
#40
48.91.0
44.445.3
Auto8.5
Teleop37.7
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
94%Auto oddsEarned94%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
10%Coral oddsEarned95%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
53%Barge oddsEarned57%Barge oddsMissed