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Red173
76651.0
172762.4
263745.8
Blue190
283467.0
210665.8
107662.7
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16821850100150200250300173190

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+31
Teleop+25
Endgame+25
Fouls+17
AutonomousBlue +31
6Leave3
3Coral scored#10
14Coral points48
20Total auto51
TeleoperatedRed +6
28Coral scored#24
99Coral points85
2Processor algae#2
2Net algae#4
12Processor points12
8Net points16
20Algae points28
119Total teleop113
Reef
7L4#13
10L3#12
8L2#6
6L1 · trough#3
35Game pieces#40
Bargelevel
26Cage & park26
26Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +17
8Foul points0
173Total score190

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1727
#21
62.40.3
62.962.6
Auto8.9
Teleop41.1
End12.3
blue by 4.6
2834
#19
67.01.0
67.566.5
Auto17.1
Teleop40.0
End9.9
Second
766
#54
51.00.3
51.150.8
Auto8.6
Teleop34.4
End8.0
blue by 14.8
2106
#10
65.81.0
62.561.4
Auto17.8
Teleop39.1
End8.9
Third
2637
#42
45.80.3
43.743.4
Auto11.5
Teleop28.9
End5.4
blue by 17.0
1076
#28
62.71.0
64.563.4
Auto15.3
Teleop45.0
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
92%Auto oddsEarned97%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
42%Coral oddsMissed87%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
89%Barge oddsEarned86%Barge oddsEarned