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Red143
317374.0
301561.0
1022321.8
Blue91
205327.1
112627.0
151148.6
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1661165010015020025014391

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+20Auto
+68Teleop
+58Endgame
+52Fouls
AutonomousRed +20
3Leave6
5Coral scored#1
26Coral points3
29Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +48
24Coral scored#13
88Coral points46
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
12Processor points6
8Net points8
20Algae points14
108Total teleop60
Reef
12L4#4
8L3#5
4L2#3
5L1 · trough#2
33Game pieces#17
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +52
0Foul points6
143Total score91

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
74.00.9
68.667.6
Auto18.3
Teleop46.1
End9.6
red by 25.4
48.62.5
51.649.1
Auto7.1
Teleop32.7
End8.7
Second
61.00.9
57.656.6
Auto18.3
Teleop36.8
End5.9
red by 33.9
2053
#17
27.12.5
33.430.9
Auto9.7
Teleop17.2
End0.1
Third
21.80.9
19.618.7
Auto3.7
Teleop14.6
End3.4
blue by 5.2
1126
#13
27.02.5
26.123.6
Auto5.9
Teleop15.3
End5.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
96%Auto oddsEarned74%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
51%Coral oddsEarned14%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
96%Barge oddsMissed81%Barge oddsEarned