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Red49
234014.6
300336.3
57820.3
Blue64
155925.6
318121.6
37834.6
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions94924060801001201404964

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
Teleop+15
Endgame+15
Fouls+15
AutonomousRed +7
3Leave0
3Coral scored#2
13Coral points9
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +22
5Coral scored#11
17Coral points39
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
6Processor points6
4Net points4
10Algae points10
27Total teleop49
Reef
2L4#6
3L3#3
1L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
10Game pieces#15
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +15
0Foul points0
49Total score64

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3003
#15
36.32.2
42.039.9
Auto7.4
Teleop21.7
End7.2
red by 1.7
378
#16
34.61.6
32.631.0
Auto5.9
Teleop25.2
End3.5
Second
578
#27
20.32.2
22.820.6
Auto1.9
Teleop18.4
End-0.1
blue by 5.3
1559
#11
25.61.1
29.828.7
Auto5.4
Teleop15.0
End5.3
Third
2340
#21
14.62.4
16.714.3
Auto4.1
Teleop8.0
End2.5
blue by 7.0
21.61.1
17.916.8
Auto4.1
Teleop16.7
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
78%Auto oddsEarned56%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
55%Barge oddsMissed39%Barge oddsMissed