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Red124
222854.7
34061.1
686830.2
Blue60
151826.6
99979.7
559015.5
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18750010015020025012460

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+31Auto
+60Teleop
+58Endgame
+64Fouls
AutonomousRed +31
9Leave0
6Coral scored#2
31Coral points9
40Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +29
12Coral scored#8
44Coral points27
2Processor algae#2
5Net algae#2
12Processor points12
20Net points8
32Algae points20
76Total teleop47
Reef
6L4#4
5L3#2
4L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
25Game pieces#14
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +64
6Foul points0
124Total score60

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
340
#5
61.12.8
61.158.2
Auto16.5
Teleop36.9
End7.6
red by 34.5
1518
#10
26.60.8
27.827.0
Auto2.5
Teleop21.5
End2.6
Second
54.72.8
58.355.5
Auto12.5
Teleop35.1
End7.0
red by 39.2
5590
#28
15.50.9
19.818.8
Auto3.0
Teleop11.1
End1.3
Third
6868
#14
30.23.2
32.229.0
Auto5.0
Teleop24.2
End1.0
red by 20.4
9997
#24
9.71.4
13.612.2
Auto2.5
Teleop7.5
End0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
89%Auto oddsEarned48%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
74%Coral oddsEarned2%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
89%Barge oddsMissed14%Barge oddsMissed