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Red99
151147.1
814524.0
913913.5
Blue105
155931.2
426936.7
1030323.7
26%Model gave it74%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8311005010015020099105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+14
Endgame+4
Fouls+6
AutonomousRed +3
6Leave9
2Coral scored#1
10Coral points4
16Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +17
14Coral scored#14
49Coral points50
1Processor algae#3
3Net algae#4
6Processor points18
12Net points16
18Algae points34
67Total teleop84
Reef
6L4#5
5L3#4
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#3
20Game pieces#22
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +6
0Foul points2
99Total score105

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.11.2
41.943.1
Auto6.3
Teleop31.6
End9.2
red by 10.3
4269
#27
36.70.3
34.835.1
Auto4.2
Teleop31.1
End1.4
Second
8145
#44
24.01.2
20.221.4
Auto4.0
Teleop16.0
End4.0
blue by 7.2
1559
#19
31.20.3
28.829.2
Auto7.6
Teleop16.8
End6.8
Third
9139
#54
13.51.9
8.510.3
Auto3.6
Teleop7.4
End2.5
blue by 10.2
23.70.5
22.322.8
Auto3.5
Teleop17.6
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
64%Auto oddsEarned59%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
75%Barge oddsEarned52%Barge oddsMissed