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Red142
4841.2
919421.5
67728.5
Blue153
1020827.0
317371.4
871812.3
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9812550150200142153

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+13
Endgame+11
Fouls+11
AutonomousBlue +14
9Leave0
1Coral scored#6
7Coral points30
16Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +1
21Coral scored#19
74Coral points67
2Processor algae#3
6Net algae#6
12Processor points18
24Net points24
36Algae points42
110Total teleop109
Reef
9L4#11
4L3#4
6L2#5
3L1 · trough#5
30Game pieces#34
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +11
0Foul points0
142Total score153

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48
#24
41.22.2
37.439.6
Auto7.2
Teleop26.9
End7.1
blue by 30.2
71.41.9
71.673.5
Auto18.7
Teleop42.2
End10.5
Second
677
#30
28.52.2
28.730.9
Auto5.2
Teleop18.4
End4.9
red by 1.5
27.01.9
23.425.3
Auto6.2
Teleop17.7
End3.1
Third
9194
#46
21.52.2
20.222.4
Auto4.4
Teleop13.3
End3.8
red by 9.2
8718
#55
12.32.9
8.111.0
Auto2.3
Teleop8.3
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
66%Auto oddsEarned71%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed22%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
57%Barge oddsEarned79%Barge oddsEarned