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Red120
2045.5
261444.4
79033.4
Blue79
151133.4
25013.9
37835.4
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10094608012014012079

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+18Auto
+27Teleop
+31Endgame
+41Fouls
AutonomousRed +18
0Leave9
5Coral scored#0
27Coral points0
27Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +9
15Coral scored#9
55Coral points34
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#5
6Processor points6
8Net points20
14Algae points26
69Total teleop60
Reef
7L4#3
5L3#3
5L2#2
3L1 · trough#1
23Game pieces#15
BargeRed +4
14Cage & park10
14Total endgame10
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +41
10Foul points0
120Total score79

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20
#9
45.52.3
41.543.8
Auto5.2
Teleop32.5
End7.7
red by 10.1
378
#29
35.40.3
35.735.4
Auto6.4
Teleop26.1
End2.9
Second
2614
#12
44.42.3
43.245.5
Auto10.7
Teleop28.9
End4.8
red by 11.0
1511
#37
33.40.2
31.731.5
Auto3.9
Teleop24.2
End5.3
Third
7903
#54
3.42.3
1.03.4
Auto2.8
Teleop-1.0
End1.6
blue by 10.6
250
#52
13.90.2
14.213.9
Auto4.0
Teleop8.6
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
65%Auto oddsMissed57%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
55%Barge oddsEarned45%Barge oddsMissed