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Red43
379919.0
493018.4
318119.3
Blue93
151151.3
42436.2
112629.5
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions621280501001502004393

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+42
Endgame+50
Fouls+50
Autonomouslevel
3Leave6
1Coral scored#0
3Coral points0
6Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +42
6Coral scored#16
21Coral points59
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
6Processor points6
4Net points8
10Algae points14
31Total teleop73
Reef
2L4#7
2L3#5
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
9Game pieces#19
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +50
0Foul points0
43Total score93

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3181
#11
19.31.8
21.920.1
Auto4.2
Teleop14.5
End0.7
blue by 31.9
51.31.4
50.949.4
Auto6.8
Teleop35.1
End9.4
Second
19.01.8
18.616.8
Auto2.9
Teleop11.9
End4.1
blue by 17.1
424
#7
36.21.4
34.933.5
Auto4.4
Teleop26.9
End4.9
Third
4930
#14
18.41.8
26.124.3
Auto3.5
Teleop13.3
End1.6
blue by 11.1
1126
#10
29.51.4
26.024.6
Auto4.8
Teleop20.5
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
61%Auto oddsMissed71%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
46%Barge oddsMissed92%Barge oddsEarned