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Red169
150755.6
317372.0
1022320.3
Blue147
19141.5
301561.7
383820.7
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17313050100150200250169147

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+8
+20Teleop
+20Endgame
+22Fouls
AutonomousBlue +8
0Leave9
7Coral scored#7
36Coral points35
36Total auto44
TeleoperatedRed +28
20Coral scored#14
71Coral points49
1Processor algae#2
7Net algae#4
6Processor points12
28Net points16
34Algae points28
105Total teleop77
Reef
9L4#9
10L3#3
4L2#5
4L1 · trough#4
35Game pieces#27
Bargelevel
26Cage & park26
26Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +22
2Foul points0
169Total score147

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
72.01.1
71.472.5
Auto16.3
Teleop46.1
End9.6
red by 10.4
61.71.6
61.262.8
Auto17.6
Teleop34.3
End9.8
Second
55.61.1
58.960.0
Auto12.6
Teleop35.2
End7.8
red by 14.2
191
#12
41.51.6
46.147.7
Auto11.8
Teleop28.1
End1.6
Third
20.31.1
20.821.9
Auto3.9
Teleop9.7
End6.7
blue by 0.4
20.71.6
15.517.1
Auto7.7
Teleop6.9
End6.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
93%Auto oddsEarned89%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
40%Coral oddsMissed14%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
99%Barge oddsEarned85%Barge oddsEarned