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Red166
34061.1
63930.3
151148.6
Blue113
493019.4
686830.2
300336.3
95%Model gave it5%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17797050150200250166113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+23Auto
+37Teleop
+61Endgame
+53Fouls
AutonomousRed +23
0Leave6
7Coral scored#1
36Coral points7
36Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +14
23Coral scored#13
84Coral points46
2Processor algae#4
2Net algae#5
12Processor points24
8Net points20
20Algae points44
104Total teleop90
Reef
10L4#6
8L3#3
8L2#3
4L1 · trough#2
34Game pieces#23
BargeRed +24
26Cage & park2
26Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +53
0Foul points8
166Total score113

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
340
#5
61.10.1
64.164.0
Auto16.5
Teleop36.9
End7.6
red by 24.8
3003
#15
36.30.3
45.545.2
Auto7.4
Teleop21.7
End7.2
Second
48.60.1
51.351.2
Auto7.1
Teleop32.7
End8.7
red by 18.4
6868
#14
30.20.4
36.436.0
Auto5.0
Teleop24.2
End1.0
Third
639
#25
30.30.1
40.740.6
Auto4.1
Teleop22.1
End4.1
red by 10.9
4930
#19
19.40.3
18.418.1
Auto5.5
Teleop13.2
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
95%Auto oddsMissed76%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
46%Coral oddsEarned11%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
97%Barge oddsEarned41%Barge oddsMissed