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Red48
379917.8
318121.6
234014.6
Blue94
317374.0
395117.6
151826.6
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5116201002002503004894

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+20
Teleop+30
Endgame+40
Fouls+46
AutonomousBlue +20
0Leave9
1Coral scored#3
6Coral points17
6Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +10
7Coral scored#9
26Coral points32
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
6Processor points6
4Net points8
10Algae points14
36Total teleop46
Reef
2L4#5
3L3#3
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#1
10Game pieces#15
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +46
0Foul points6
48Total score94

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.61.3
19.318.0
Auto4.1
Teleop16.7
End0.8
blue by 52.4
74.03.5
74.871.3
Auto18.3
Teleop46.1
End9.6
Second
3799
#23
17.81.3
19.017.7
Auto3.3
Teleop10.0
End4.4
blue by 8.8
1518
#10
26.63.5
35.632.1
Auto2.5
Teleop21.5
End2.6
Third
2340
#21
14.61.8
20.418.6
Auto4.1
Teleop8.0
End2.5
blue by 3.0
3951
#20
17.64.6
22.017.4
Auto5.3
Teleop6.8
End5.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
61%Auto oddsMissed90%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed29%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
32%Barge oddsMissed90%Barge oddsEarned