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Red100
19145.7
42437.1
140546.0
Blue115
301561.0
57820.3
155925.6
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1331206080100140160180200100115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+5
Endgame+15
Fouls+15
AutonomousBlue +4
0Leave6
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points4
6Total auto10
TeleoperatedBlue +1
16Coral scored#21
56Coral points75
2Processor algae#1
5Net algae#2
12Processor points6
20Net points8
32Algae points14
88Total teleop89
Reef
6L4#9
4L3#4
5L2#6
2L1 · trough#3
24Game pieces#25
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +15
0Foul points0
100Total score115

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1405
#22
46.02.0
46.244.2
Auto8.9
Teleop31.1
End6.0
blue by 15.0
61.00.3
57.457.2
Auto18.3
Teleop36.8
End5.9
Second
191
#7
45.72.0
41.539.5
Auto10.3
Teleop33.2
End2.2
red by 20.1
1559
#11
25.60.3
31.231.0
Auto5.4
Teleop15.0
End5.3
Third
424
#12
37.12.0
36.234.2
Auto4.3
Teleop28.0
End4.8
red by 16.8
578
#27
20.30.3
25.325.0
Auto1.9
Teleop18.4
End-0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
83%Auto oddsMissed81%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
43%Barge oddsMissed81%Barge oddsEarned