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Red96
559015.5
159149.7
37834.6
Blue119
1022321.8
150753.0
205327.1
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1131275010015020096119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+21
Endgame+23
Fouls+23
AutonomousBlue +3
0Leave6
5Coral scored#4
23Coral points20
23Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +18
13Coral scored#16
47Coral points57
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#5
12Processor points12
12Net points20
24Algae points32
71Total teleop89
Reef
6L4#9
5L3#5
3L2#3
4L1 · trough#3
23Game pieces#27
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +23
0Foul points0
96Total score119

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.71.5
45.544.0
Auto14.2
Teleop31.5
End4.0
blue by 3.3
53.00.4
55.655.2
Auto10.5
Teleop35.0
End7.6
Second
378
#16
34.62.4
35.432.9
Auto5.9
Teleop25.2
End3.5
red by 7.5
2053
#17
27.10.4
35.935.4
Auto9.7
Teleop17.2
End0.1
Third
5590
#28
15.52.1
25.122.9
Auto3.0
Teleop11.1
End1.3
blue by 6.3
21.80.4
20.319.8
Auto3.7
Teleop14.6
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
74%Auto oddsEarned90%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
13%Coral oddsMissed16%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
27%Barge oddsMissed84%Barge oddsMissed