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Red136
19149.0
151133.4
63938.5
Blue60
300416.7
158518.2
716527.5
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions124665010015020013660

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+62Teleop
+76Endgame
+76Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
0Leave6
3Coral scored#1
16Coral points6
16Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +58
22Coral scored#7
78Coral points26
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
12Processor points6
12Net points12
24Algae points18
102Total teleop44
Reef
9L4#3
5L3#2
6L2#2
5L1 · trough#1
30Game pieces#12
BargeRed +14
18Cage & park4
18Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +76
0Foul points0
136Total score60

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
191
#6
49.02.7
42.144.8
Auto14.6
Teleop29.2
End5.1
red by 21.5
7165
#40
27.51.1
30.028.9
Auto4.6
Teleop20.2
End2.7
Second
639
#18
38.52.7
31.734.4
Auto4.7
Teleop28.3
End5.5
red by 20.3
1585
#41
18.21.1
17.616.4
Auto5.8
Teleop11.5
End0.9
Third
1511
#37
33.42.7
29.231.9
Auto3.9
Teleop24.2
End5.3
red by 16.7
3004
#35
16.71.1
14.413.2
Auto4.2
Teleop8.8
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
77%Auto oddsEarned67%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
58%Barge oddsEarned18%Barge oddsMissed