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Red83
824322.0
178747.1
964311.1
Blue113
300337.6
686836.4
1022326.9
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions929040608010012014016083113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
Teleop+20
Endgame+30
Fouls+30
AutonomousRed +7
3Leave9
3Coral scored#1
16Coral points3
19Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +27
10Coral scored#16
36Coral points59
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
6Processor points6
8Net points12
14Algae points18
50Total teleop77
Reef
4L4#7
5L3#3
3L2#4
1L1 · trough#3
16Game pieces#21
BargeBlue +10
14Cage & park24
14Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +30
0Foul points0
83Total score113

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1787
#28
47.10.1
48.248.4
Auto10.4
Teleop29.1
End7.6
red by 9.5
3003
#14
37.63.6
28.932.5
Auto4.5
Teleop25.3
End7.7
Second
8243
#30
22.00.1
24.224.3
Auto5.8
Teleop14.6
End1.5
blue by 14.5
6868
#20
36.43.6
30.133.7
Auto5.3
Teleop29.4
End1.8
Third
9643
#38
11.10.1
9.49.5
Auto3.7
Teleop6.0
End1.4
blue by 15.8
26.93.6
21.324.9
Auto5.9
Teleop15.0
End6.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
66%Auto oddsEarned81%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
51%Barge oddsEarned62%Barge oddsEarned