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Red135
42438.4
69558.5
53323.5
Blue116
379920.5
34060.7
159143.5
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11711990100110130140150135116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+21Teleop
+11Endgame
+19Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave0
3Coral scored#5
17Coral points26
23Total auto26
TeleoperatedRed +24
15Coral scored#14
54Coral points50
4Processor algae#2
5Net algae#3
24Processor points12
20Net points12
44Algae points24
98Total teleop74
Reef
5L4#5
7L3#6
3L2#5
3L1 · trough#3
27Game pieces#24
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +19
8Foul points0
135Total score116

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
695
#10
58.52.1
50.552.6
Auto13.3
Teleop42.1
End3.1
blue by 2.2
340
#2
60.71.0
48.049.0
Auto18.1
Teleop34.7
End7.9
Second
424
#5
38.42.1
41.143.2
Auto7.2
Teleop24.9
End6.4
blue by 5.0
1591
#32
43.51.0
39.340.3
Auto10.6
Teleop31.3
End1.5
Third
533
#23
23.52.1
16.118.3
Auto4.3
Teleop15.2
End4.0
red by 3.0
3799
#25
20.51.0
19.620.6
Auto3.7
Teleop14.3
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
52%Auto oddsEarned77%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed13%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
54%Barge oddsMissed54%Barge oddsEarned