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Red104
493018.4
150755.6
112629.5
Blue122
151151.3
1022320.3
317372.0
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions129173050100150200250300104122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+16
Teleop+16
Endgame+16
Fouls+18
AutonomousBlue +16
6Leave9
0Coral scored#3
0Coral points13
6Total auto22
Teleoperatedlevel
16Coral scored#12
58Coral points44
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#4
6Processor points12
8Net points16
14Algae points28
72Total teleop72
Reef
8L4#6
3L3#4
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
19Game pieces#21
Bargelevel
26Cage & park26
26Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +18
0Foul points2
104Total score122

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
55.61.4
63.261.8
Auto12.6
Teleop35.2
End7.8
blue by 16.4
72.02.4
75.172.7
Auto16.3
Teleop46.1
End9.6
Second
1126
#10
29.51.4
30.028.6
Auto4.8
Teleop20.5
End4.2
blue by 21.8
51.32.4
55.152.7
Auto6.8
Teleop35.1
End9.4
Third
4930
#14
18.41.4
29.227.8
Auto3.5
Teleop13.3
End1.6
blue by 1.9
20.33.2
22.819.6
Auto3.9
Teleop9.7
End6.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
93%Auto oddsMissed94%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
26%Coral oddsMissed33%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
88%Barge oddsEarned99%Barge oddsEarned