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Red197
119788.8
151156.1
172762.4
Blue239
83671.2
173281.7
804479.2
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions192216150250300197239

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+41
Teleop+36
Endgame+46
Fouls+42
AutonomousBlue +41
3Leave6
5Coral scored#13
27Coral points65
30Total auto71
TeleoperatedRed +5
24Coral scored#21
87Coral points74
4Processor algae#4
6Net algae#8
24Processor points24
24Net points32
48Algae points56
135Total teleop130
Reef
10L4#13
7L3#9
6L2#7
6L1 · trough#5
39Game pieces#46
BargeBlue +10
26Cage & park36
26Total endgame36
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +42
6Foul points2
197Total score239

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
88.80.2
81.080.8
Auto23.3
Teleop55.2
End10.3
red by 7.1
1732
#23
81.71.4
76.978.4
Auto16.2
Teleop53.8
End11.7
Second
1727
#21
62.40.2
54.454.1
Auto8.9
Teleop41.1
End12.3
blue by 16.8
79.21.4
69.470.9
Auto15.8
Teleop54.5
End9.0
Third
1511
#44
56.10.2
48.047.7
Auto7.2
Teleop37.3
End11.7
blue by 15.0
836
#20
71.21.4
57.959.4
Auto16.0
Teleop44.9
End10.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
95%Auto oddsEarned94%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
53%Coral oddsEarned97%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
99%Barge oddsEarned96%Barge oddsEarned