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Red198
170180.3
440077.9
923433.7
Blue202
162962.9
205269.7
198776.0
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions176216150200250300198202

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
Teleop+26
Endgame+14
Fouls+4
AutonomousRed +7
6Leave0
8Coral scored#8
41Coral points40
47Total auto40
TeleoperatedBlue +33
26Coral scored#33
95Coral points120
3Processor algae#3
3Net algae#5
18Processor points18
12Net points20
30Algae points38
125Total teleop158
Reef
11L4#18
6L3#14
9L2#6
8L1 · trough#3
40Game pieces#49
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +4
10Foul points0
198Total score202

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1701
#35
80.30.4
70.570.9
Auto21.3
Teleop50.6
End8.4
red by 4.3
76.00.7
69.769.0
Auto16.8
Teleop48.9
End10.3
Second
4400
#12
77.90.4
68.268.5
Auto19.8
Teleop49.4
End8.7
red by 8.2
2052
#38
69.70.7
68.167.4
Auto10.2
Teleop49.3
End10.3
Third
9234
#61
33.70.4
32.232.6
Auto7.4
Teleop23.2
End3.1
blue by 29.3
1629
#41
62.90.7
63.362.6
Auto18.8
Teleop40.5
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
98%Auto oddsEarned98%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
51%Coral oddsMissed84%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
71%Barge oddsEarned97%Barge oddsMissed