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Red217
285156.5
233885.2
414364.5
Blue196
263852.4
521669.9
752255.3
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions193175120140160200220240260217196

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+13Auto
+27Teleop
+23Endgame
+21Fouls
AutonomousRed +13
6Leave3
8Coral scored#6
41Coral points31
47Total auto34
TeleoperatedRed +14
24Coral scored#27
88Coral points98
5Processor algae#3
9Net algae#6
30Processor points18
36Net points24
66Algae points42
154Total teleop140
Reef
14L4#10
7L3#12
5L2#6
6L1 · trough#5
46Game pieces#42
BargeBlue +4
16Cage & park20
16Total endgame20
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +21
0Foul points2
217Total score196

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2338
#13
85.21.7
71.473.1
Auto24.7
Teleop49.9
End10.6
red by 15.3
5216
#50
69.90.9
72.573.4
Auto17.7
Teleop48.6
End3.5
Second
4143
#26
64.51.7
56.458.2
Auto13.2
Teleop43.9
End7.3
red by 9.1
7522
#24
55.31.2
50.451.6
Auto10.6
Teleop41.5
End3.2
Third
2851
#60
56.51.7
52.253.9
Auto7.0
Teleop48.2
End1.3
red by 4.1
2638
#68
52.40.9
46.647.5
Auto9.0
Teleop35.9
End7.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
96%Auto oddsEarned97%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
91%Coral oddsEarned42%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
80%Barge oddsEarned45%Barge oddsEarned