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Red166
234126.0
318242.9
636987.4
Blue260
111481.0
439185.6
1012041.6
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions148221100200250300166260

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+34
Teleop+84
Endgame+84
Fouls+94
AutonomousBlue +34
0Leave0
3Coral scored#9
13Coral points47
13Total auto47
TeleoperatedBlue +50
23Coral scored#30
81Coral points107
4Processor algae#4
5Net algae#11
24Processor points24
20Net points44
44Algae points68
125Total teleop175
Reef
9L4#15
8L3#8
6L2#11
3L1 · trough#5
35Game pieces#54
Bargelevel
26Cage & park26
26Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +94
2Foul points12
166Total score260

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6369
#16
87.40.4
81.782.1
Auto21.8
Teleop54.6
End11.0
red by 1.8
85.62.0
80.982.9
Auto16.5
Teleop59.2
End9.9
Second
3182
#69
42.90.4
40.340.6
Auto5.9
Teleop32.0
End5.0
blue by 38.1
81.02.0
80.682.6
Auto18.0
Teleop56.2
End6.8
Third
2341
#57
26.00.4
20.320.6
Auto5.3
Teleop16.7
End4.0
blue by 15.6
41.62.0
39.241.2
Auto6.3
Teleop31.2
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
92%Auto oddsEarned98%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
37%Coral oddsEarned95%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
96%Barge oddsEarned86%Barge oddsEarned