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Red92
461161.1
318117.0
151133.4
Blue79
159143.5
964311.1
962214.9
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions104802040601201401609279

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+24Auto
+19Teleop
+23Endgame
+13Fouls
AutonomousRed +24
3Leave3
7Coral scored#2
34Coral points10
37Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +5
8Coral scored#11
29Coral points38
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
6Processor points6
8Net points4
14Algae points10
43Total teleop48
Reef
5L4#6
5L3#3
4L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
18Game pieces#15
BargeRed +4
10Cage & park6
10Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +13
2Foul points12
92Total score79

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61.10.2
38.538.2
Auto15.6
Teleop39.8
End5.7
red by 17.7
1591
#32
43.51.0
36.735.6
Auto10.6
Teleop31.3
End1.5
Second
1511
#37
33.40.2
24.524.2
Auto3.9
Teleop24.2
End5.3
red by 18.5
9622
#47
14.91.0
18.317.3
Auto3.2
Teleop10.6
End1.0
Third
3181
#39
17.00.2
23.323.0
Auto5.6
Teleop10.7
End0.7
red by 5.9
9643
#38
11.11.0
16.015.0
Auto3.7
Teleop6.0
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
47%Auto oddsEarned58%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
11%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
31%Barge oddsMissed37%Barge oddsMissed