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Red241
175674.7
173281.7
111481.0
Blue173
283467.0
394080.1
45858.9
98%Model gave it2%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions265167100150200250300350241173

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
+66Teleop
+66Endgame
+68Fouls
AutonomousBlue +14
3Leave9
4Coral scored#6
20Coral points28
23Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +80
38Coral scored#21
136Coral points76
3Processor algae#3
9Net algae#4
18Processor points18
36Net points16
54Algae points34
190Total teleop110
Reef
23L4#13
8L3#6
6L2#4
5L1 · trough#4
54Game pieces#34
Bargelevel
26Cage & park26
26Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +68
2Foul points0
241Total score173

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1732
#23
81.70.8
80.880.1
Auto16.2
Teleop53.8
End11.7
red by 1.6
3940
#30
80.10.4
77.678.0
Auto18.7
Teleop52.0
End9.4
Second
81.00.8
83.983.1
Auto18.0
Teleop56.2
End6.8
red by 13.9
2834
#19
67.00.4
66.566.9
Auto17.1
Teleop40.0
End9.9
Third
74.70.8
74.573.8
Auto7.6
Teleop57.1
End10.0
red by 65.8
4585
#70
8.90.4
11.211.6
Auto5.1
Teleop2.8
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsEarned89%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
99%Coral oddsEarned62%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
97%Barge oddsEarned80%Barge oddsEarned