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Red172
283467.0
958322.5
521669.9
Blue231
260142.3
595173.0
34190.7
11%Model gave it89%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions177225100150200250300172231

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+15
Teleop+47
Endgame+59
Fouls+59
AutonomousBlue +15
9Leave0
7Coral scored#12
34Coral points58
43Total auto58
TeleoperatedBlue +32
26Coral scored#30
95Coral points107
3Processor algae#3
3Net algae#8
18Processor points18
12Net points32
30Algae points50
125Total teleop157
Reef
8L4#18
10L3#13
9L2#6
6L1 · trough#5
39Game pieces#53
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +59
0Foul points0
172Total score231

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5216
#50
69.90.1
69.769.9
Auto17.7
Teleop48.6
End3.5
blue by 20.8
341
#7
90.71.2
90.291.4
Auto15.2
Teleop63.6
End12.0
Second
2834
#19
67.00.1
66.967.0
Auto17.1
Teleop40.0
End9.9
blue by 6.0
5951
#17
73.01.2
71.873.0
Auto19.2
Teleop44.0
End9.8
Third
9583
#65
22.50.1
22.422.6
Auto4.8
Teleop18.0
End-0.4
blue by 19.9
2601
#56
42.31.2
39.540.7
Auto8.9
Teleop31.3
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
94%Auto oddsEarned97%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
81%Coral oddsEarned68%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
35%Barge oddsMissed98%Barge oddsEarned