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Red218
635848.9
192365.5
205269.7
Blue239
912643.9
636987.4
119788.8
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions19023850100150300350218239

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+11
Endgame+21
Fouls+21
AutonomousBlue +10
0Leave0
8Coral scored#10
41Coral points51
41Total auto51
TeleoperatedBlue +1
33Coral scored#33
117Coral points120
4Processor algae#3
5Net algae#6
24Processor points18
20Net points24
44Algae points42
161Total teleop162
Reef
9L4#18
14L3#14
10L2#7
8L1 · trough#4
50Game pieces#52
BargeBlue +10
16Cage & park26
16Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +21
0Foul points0
218Total score239

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2052
#38
69.72.0
66.568.5
Auto10.2
Teleop49.3
End10.3
blue by 19.0
88.80.7
87.988.6
Auto23.3
Teleop55.2
End10.3
Second
1923
#22
65.52.0
64.466.5
Auto17.8
Teleop45.9
End1.9
blue by 21.9
6369
#16
87.40.7
85.786.4
Auto21.8
Teleop54.6
End11.0
Third
6358
#40
48.92.0
45.347.4
Auto8.5
Teleop37.7
End2.7
red by 5.0
9126
#64
43.90.7
43.544.2
Auto11.0
Teleop30.5
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
98%Auto oddsEarned97%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
83%Coral oddsEarned61%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
79%Barge oddsEarned97%Barge oddsEarned