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Red159
634059.7
318242.9
76651.0
Blue218
1007957.1
198776.0
804479.2
7%Model gave it93%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions166237100150200250300350159218

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+13
Teleop+49
Endgame+49
Fouls+59
AutonomousBlue +13
6Leave9
5Coral scored#7
24Coral points34
30Total auto43
TeleoperatedBlue +36
19Coral scored#27
69Coral points97
3Processor algae#3
4Net algae#6
18Processor points18
16Net points24
34Algae points42
103Total teleop139
Reef
9L4#13
7L3#10
5L2#5
3L1 · trough#6
31Game pieces#43
Bargelevel
26Cage & park26
26Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +59
0Foul points10
159Total score218

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6340
#25
59.70.5
60.259.7
Auto10.9
Teleop39.4
End9.4
blue by 19.5
79.21.2
79.878.6
Auto15.8
Teleop54.5
End9.0
Second
766
#54
51.00.5
51.451.0
Auto8.6
Teleop34.4
End8.0
blue by 25.0
76.01.2
76.175.0
Auto16.8
Teleop48.9
End10.3
Third
3182
#69
42.90.5
43.442.9
Auto5.9
Teleop32.0
End5.0
blue by 14.2
57.11.2
58.357.1
Auto17.3
Teleop37.3
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
95%Auto oddsEarned98%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
30%Coral oddsEarned98%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
94%Barge oddsEarned91%Barge oddsEarned