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Red191
38652.5
170180.3
388029.6
Blue223
263745.8
83972.3
599087.1
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions172231100150200250300191223

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
Teleop+32
Endgame+32
Fouls+32
AutonomousRed +14
6Leave9
8Coral scored#4
38Coral points21
44Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +46
19Coral scored#30
69Coral points107
4Processor algae#4
7Net algae#9
24Processor points24
28Net points36
52Algae points60
121Total teleop167
Reef
9L4#15
10L3#10
4L2#5
4L1 · trough#4
38Game pieces#47
Bargelevel
26Cage & park26
26Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +32
0Foul points0
191Total score223

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1701
#35
80.31.5
78.479.9
Auto21.3
Teleop50.6
End8.4
blue by 6.8
5990
#15
87.10.5
86.687.1
Auto19.9
Teleop64.8
End2.4
Second
386
#45
52.51.5
51.052.5
Auto10.4
Teleop34.4
End7.8
blue by 19.8
839
#29
72.30.5
71.872.3
Auto10.3
Teleop50.6
End11.5
Third
3880
#73
29.61.5
28.129.6
Auto5.3
Teleop24.3
End-0.1
blue by 16.2
2637
#42
45.80.5
45.245.8
Auto11.5
Teleop28.9
End5.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
96%Auto oddsMissed91%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
62%Coral oddsMissed83%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
30%Barge oddsEarned64%Barge oddsEarned