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Red228
940870.1
1166.6
205269.7
Blue170
521669.9
234126.0
107662.7
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions233178100150200250300228170

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
+28Teleop
+58Endgame
+58Fouls
AutonomousRed +6
3Leave0
7Coral scored#6
33Coral points30
36Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +22
31Coral scored#22
110Coral points78
5Processor algae#4
4Net algae#8
30Processor points24
16Net points32
46Algae points56
156Total teleop134
Reef
13L4#12
10L3#6
9L2#6
6L1 · trough#4
47Game pieces#40
BargeRed +30
36Cage & park6
36Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +58
0Foul points0
228Total score170

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9408
#37
70.10.8
70.070.8
Auto14.1
Teleop47.1
End8.9
red by 0.3
5216
#50
69.90.0
69.969.9
Auto17.7
Teleop48.6
End3.5
Second
2052
#38
69.70.8
68.569.3
Auto10.2
Teleop49.3
End10.3
red by 7.0
1076
#28
62.70.0
62.762.7
Auto15.3
Teleop45.0
End2.4
Third
11
#39
66.60.8
65.866.6
Auto11.3
Teleop45.1
End10.2
red by 40.6
2341
#57
26.00.0
26.026.0
Auto5.3
Teleop16.7
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
96%Auto oddsEarned96%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
43%Coral oddsEarned91%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
96%Barge oddsEarned34%Barge oddsMissed