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Red117
958322.5
432944.8
439.6
Blue141
313251.0
192365.5
601423.0
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12017050100150200250117141

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+22
Endgame+22
Fouls+24
AutonomousRed +3
3Leave6
5Coral scored#3
23Coral points17
26Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +25
18Coral scored#25
65Coral points90
2Processor algae#2
2Net algae#2
12Processor points12
8Net points8
20Algae points20
85Total teleop110
Reef
9L4#10
7L3#9
3L2#6
4L1 · trough#3
27Game pieces#32
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +24
0Foul points2
117Total score141

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4329
#55
44.80.1
44.944.8
Auto10.5
Teleop32.4
End2.0
blue by 20.7
1923
#22
65.51.0
66.565.5
Auto17.8
Teleop45.9
End1.9
Second
4
#62
39.60.1
39.739.6
Auto5.5
Teleop28.6
End5.5
blue by 11.3
3132
#58
51.01.0
51.951.0
Auto9.6
Teleop36.7
End4.6
Third
9583
#65
22.50.1
22.622.5
Auto4.8
Teleop18.0
End-0.4
blue by 0.5
6014
#71
23.01.0
24.023.0
Auto4.0
Teleop16.3
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
59%Auto oddsEarned95%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
22%Coral oddsMissed17%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
8%Barge oddsMissed44%Barge oddsMissed