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Red249
721170.0
260142.3
636987.4
Blue250
402873.9
259051.3
223184.9
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions211233150200250300249250

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
+11Teleop
+11Endgame
Fouls+1
AutonomousRed +6
9Leave9
5Coral scored#4
27Coral points21
36Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +5
34Coral scored#34
121Coral points124
5Processor algae#5
9Net algae#7
30Processor points30
36Net points28
66Algae points58
187Total teleop182
Reef
15L4#14
9L3#13
9L2#4
6L1 · trough#7
53Game pieces#50
Bargelevel
26Cage & park26
26Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +1
0Foul points12
249Total score250

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6369
#16
87.41.6
86.488.0
Auto21.8
Teleop54.6
End11.0
red by 2.5
2231
#46
84.90.0
85.785.8
Auto19.2
Teleop56.2
End9.4
Second
7211
#18
70.01.6
68.470.0
Auto11.4
Teleop47.2
End11.5
blue by 3.8
4028
#11
73.90.0
73.973.9
Auto19.4
Teleop47.5
End6.9
Third
2601
#56
42.31.6
40.742.3
Auto8.9
Teleop31.3
End2.2
blue by 9.0
2590
#67
51.30.0
51.351.3
Auto8.0
Teleop35.3
End8.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
98%Auto oddsEarned92%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
69%Coral oddsEarned74%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
99%Barge oddsEarned98%Barge oddsEarned