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Red203
162962.9
285156.5
376772.0
Blue206
654855.2
119788.8
529839.9
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions209193150250203206

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+17
+7Teleop
Endgame+3
Fouls+3
AutonomousBlue +17
0Leave3
7Coral scored#10
37Coral points51
37Total auto54
TeleoperatedRed +24
33Coral scored#28
120Coral points102
2Processor algae#3
7Net algae#4
12Processor points18
28Net points16
40Algae points34
160Total teleop136
Reef
14L4#18
16L3#10
6L2#4
4L1 · trough#6
49Game pieces#45
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +3
0Foul points0
203Total score206

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3767
#31
72.00.1
70.971.0
Auto16.2
Teleop48.1
End7.8
blue by 16.7
88.80.9
88.689.4
Auto23.3
Teleop55.2
End10.3
Second
1629
#41
62.90.1
62.862.9
Auto18.8
Teleop40.5
End3.7
red by 7.8
6548
#34
55.20.9
54.355.2
Auto15.3
Teleop37.7
End2.2
Third
2851
#60
56.50.1
56.456.5
Auto7.0
Teleop48.2
End1.3
red by 16.6
5298
#33
39.90.9
39.139.9
Auto7.0
Teleop30.1
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
96%Auto oddsEarned87%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
81%Coral oddsEarned45%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
67%Barge oddsMissed80%Barge oddsEarned