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Red246
60489.8
635848.9
394080.1
Blue269
440077.9
210665.8
233885.2
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions226234150200250300246269

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+13
Endgame+23
Fouls+23
AutonomousBlue +4
9Leave3
8Coral scored#10
38Coral points48
47Total auto51
TeleoperatedBlue +9
35Coral scored#33
125Coral points120
4Processor algae#5
6Net algae#8
24Processor points30
24Net points32
48Algae points62
173Total teleop182
Reef
14L4#11
13L3#15
10L2#6
6L1 · trough#11
53Game pieces#56
BargeBlue +10
26Cage & park36
26Total endgame36
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +23
0Foul points0
246Total score269

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
604
#9
89.81.5
87.288.7
Auto20.8
Teleop60.7
End8.3
red by 4.6
2338
#13
85.22.4
83.686.1
Auto24.7
Teleop49.9
End10.6
Second
3940
#30
80.11.5
78.079.5
Auto18.7
Teleop52.0
End9.4
red by 2.2
4400
#12
77.92.4
74.476.8
Auto19.8
Teleop49.4
End8.7
Third
6358
#40
48.91.5
47.448.9
Auto8.5
Teleop37.7
End2.7
blue by 16.9
2106
#10
65.82.4
63.465.8
Auto17.8
Teleop39.1
End8.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
98%Auto oddsEarned99%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
98%Coral oddsEarned86%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
88%Barge oddsEarned95%Barge oddsEarned