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Red275
804479.2
394080.1
2481103.1
Blue255
440077.9
83671.2
60489.8
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions270244200300350275255

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
+20Teleop
+20Endgame
+20Fouls
AutonomousBlue +7
9Leave0
10Coral scored#13
49Coral points65
58Total auto65
TeleoperatedRed +27
35Coral scored#28
127Coral points102
5Processor algae#4
6Net algae#7
30Processor points24
24Net points28
54Algae points52
181Total teleop154
Reef
19L4#15
10L3#9
10L2#11
6L1 · trough#6
56Game pieces#52
Bargelevel
36Cage & park36
36Total endgame36
Penalties & totalRed +20
0Foul points0
275Total score255

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
103.10.3
102.4102.8
Auto25.7
Teleop65.5
End11.8
red by 13.3
604
#9
89.80.4
88.789.1
Auto20.8
Teleop60.7
End8.3
Second
3940
#30
80.10.3
79.579.8
Auto18.7
Teleop52.0
End9.4
red by 2.2
4400
#12
77.90.4
76.877.2
Auto19.8
Teleop49.4
End8.7
Third
79.20.3
78.678.9
Auto15.8
Teleop54.5
End9.0
red by 8.0
836
#20
71.20.4
70.070.5
Auto16.0
Teleop44.9
End10.3