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Red229
173281.7
175674.7
595173.0
Blue247
439185.6
223184.9
233885.2
20%Model gave it80%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions244277200300350229247

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+17
Teleop+28
Endgame+18
Fouls+18
AutonomousBlue +17
3Leave3
9Coral scored#12
45Coral points62
48Total auto65
TeleoperatedBlue +11
32Coral scored#33
115Coral points120
1Processor algae#2
6Net algae#6
6Processor points12
24Net points24
30Algae points36
145Total teleop156
Reef
15L4#14
14L3#14
6L2#7
6L1 · trough#10
48Game pieces#53
BargeRed +10
36Cage & park26
36Total endgame26
Penalties & totalBlue +18
0Foul points0
229Total score247

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1732
#23
81.70.0
81.581.5
Auto16.2
Teleop53.8
End11.7
blue by 3.9
85.60.3
86.586.2
Auto16.5
Teleop59.2
End9.9
Second
74.70.0
74.574.5
Auto7.6
Teleop57.1
End10.0
blue by 10.5
2338
#13
85.20.3
86.185.8
Auto24.7
Teleop49.9
End10.6
Third
5951
#17
73.00.0
73.073.0
Auto19.2
Teleop44.0
End9.8
blue by 11.8
2231
#46
84.90.3
85.885.5
Auto19.2
Teleop56.2
End9.4