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Red46
388029.6
45858.9
76651.0
Blue116
958322.5
957655.0
551656.9
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions951375015020046116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+17
Teleop+66
Endgame+70
Fouls+70
AutonomousBlue +17
9Leave0
1Coral scored#7
7Coral points33
16Total auto33
TeleoperatedBlue +49
5Coral scored#14
18Coral points49
0Processor algae#1
3Net algae#6
0Processor points6
12Net points24
12Algae points30
30Total teleop79
Reef
3L4#7
2L3#7
0L2#3
1L1 · trough#4
9Game pieces#28
BargeBlue +4
0Cage & park4
0Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +70
0Foul points0
46Total score116

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
766
#54
51.03.5
52.549.0
Auto8.6
Teleop34.4
End8.0
blue by 6.0
5516
#32
56.90.9
50.649.7
Auto17.2
Teleop34.7
End5.0
Second
3880
#73
29.63.5
25.021.5
Auto5.3
Teleop24.3
End-0.1
blue by 25.4
9576
#36
55.00.9
50.349.4
Auto10.1
Teleop36.5
End8.4
Third
4585
#70
8.93.9
9.75.9
Auto5.1
Teleop2.8
End1.0
blue by 13.5
9583
#65
22.50.9
18.017.0
Auto4.8
Teleop18.0
End-0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
36%Auto oddsEarned89%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
11%Coral oddsMissed18%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
26%Barge oddsMissed14%Barge oddsMissed