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Red237
34190.7
263745.8
402873.9
Blue217
362069.4
234262.7
394080.1
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions210209205215220225230237217

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+29Auto
+20Teleop
+20Endgame
+20Fouls
AutonomousRed +29
9Leave6
11Coral scored#5
53Coral points27
62Total auto33
TeleoperatedBlue +9
29Coral scored#22
105Coral points78
2Processor algae#4
8Net algae#14
12Processor points24
32Net points56
44Algae points80
149Total teleop158
Reef
14L4#11
12L3#6
7L2#6
7L1 · trough#4
50Game pieces#45
Bargelevel
26Cage & park26
26Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +20
0Foul points0
237Total score217

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
341
#7
90.72.0
79.881.8
Auto15.2
Teleop63.6
End12.0
red by 10.6
3940
#30
80.10.3
72.072.3
Auto18.7
Teleop52.0
End9.4
Second
4028
#11
73.92.0
73.975.9
Auto19.4
Teleop47.5
End6.9
red by 4.5
3620
#49
69.40.3
68.368.6
Auto22.2
Teleop38.7
End8.5
Third
2637
#42
45.82.0
42.344.3
Auto11.5
Teleop28.9
End5.4
blue by 16.9
2342
#43
62.70.3
61.061.3
Auto14.2
Teleop39.5
End9.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
96%Auto oddsEarned99%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
94%Coral oddsEarned90%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
90%Barge oddsEarned98%Barge oddsEarned