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Red248
635848.9
2481103.1
98783.6
Blue233
223184.9
439.6
283467.0
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions226185100150200250300350248233

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+19Auto
+35Teleop
+15Endgame
+15Fouls
AutonomousRed +19
9Leave6
10Coral scored#7
50Coral points34
59Total auto40
TeleoperatedRed +16
30Coral scored#28
109Coral points101
6Processor algae#2
7Net algae#11
36Processor points12
28Net points44
64Algae points56
173Total teleop157
Reef
17L4#16
7L3#6
9L2#6
7L1 · trough#7
53Game pieces#48
BargeBlue +20
16Cage & park36
16Total endgame36
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +15
0Foul points0
248Total score233

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
103.11.7
94.596.2
Auto25.7
Teleop65.5
End11.8
red by 18.2
2231
#46
84.93.1
79.682.7
Auto19.2
Teleop56.2
End9.4
Second
987
#14
83.61.7
77.278.9
Auto22.8
Teleop52.6
End8.2
red by 16.6
2834
#19
67.03.1
62.665.7
Auto17.1
Teleop40.0
End9.9
Third
6358
#40
48.92.1
39.541.6
Auto8.5
Teleop37.7
End2.7
red by 9.2
4
#62
39.63.1
32.535.6
Auto5.5
Teleop28.6
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
99%Auto oddsEarned79%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
99%Coral oddsEarned61%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
99%Barge oddsEarned92%Barge oddsEarned