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Red160
173281.7
234126.0
958322.5
Blue199
599087.1
721170.0
752255.3
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12221550100150200250300160199

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+39
Endgame+39
Fouls+39
AutonomousBlue +3
9Leave3
4Coral scored#6
21Coral points30
30Total auto33
TeleoperatedBlue +36
23Coral scored#32
82Coral points114
2Processor algae#4
5Net algae#3
12Processor points24
20Net points12
32Algae points36
114Total teleop150
Reef
10L4#20
9L3#8
5L2#4
3L1 · trough#6
34Game pieces#45
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +39
0Foul points0
160Total score199

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1732
#23
81.71.7
78.480.0
Auto16.2
Teleop53.8
End11.7
blue by 5.4
5990
#15
87.11.4
85.083.7
Auto19.9
Teleop64.8
End2.4
Second
2341
#57
26.01.7
20.622.3
Auto5.3
Teleop16.7
End4.0
blue by 44.0
7211
#18
70.01.4
62.861.5
Auto11.4
Teleop47.2
End11.5
Third
9583
#65
22.51.7
17.018.7
Auto4.8
Teleop18.0
End-0.4
blue by 32.9
7522
#24
55.31.7
51.649.9
Auto10.6
Teleop41.5
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
59%Auto oddsEarned96%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
40%Coral oddsMissed37%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
49%Barge oddsEarned74%Barge oddsEarned