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Red176
313251.0
427077.2
45858.9
Blue230
521669.9
634059.7
83671.2
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14321650100200250300176230

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+58
Endgame+52
Fouls+54
AutonomousBlue +14
0Leave6
7Coral scored#9
37Coral points45
37Total auto51
TeleoperatedBlue +44
21Coral scored#30
75Coral points107
3Processor algae#3
5Net algae#8
18Processor points18
20Net points32
38Algae points50
113Total teleop157
Reef
11L4#13
11L3#10
4L2#11
2L1 · trough#5
36Game pieces#50
BargeRed +6
26Cage & park20
26Total endgame20
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +54
0Foul points2
176Total score230

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4270
#52
77.22.4
76.078.3
Auto15.5
Teleop53.0
End8.7
red by 6.0
836
#20
71.22.0
61.963.9
Auto16.0
Teleop44.9
End10.3
Second
3132
#58
51.02.4
49.551.8
Auto9.6
Teleop36.7
End4.6
blue by 18.9
5216
#50
69.92.0
70.172.2
Auto17.7
Teleop48.6
End3.5
Third
4585
#70
8.92.4
6.28.6
Auto5.1
Teleop2.8
End1.0
blue by 50.8
6340
#25
59.72.0
54.356.4
Auto10.9
Teleop39.4
End9.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
68%Auto oddsEarned98%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
20%Coral oddsMissed85%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
80%Barge oddsEarned91%Barge oddsEarned