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Red223
233885.2
721170.0
173281.7
Blue229
34190.7
205269.7
432944.8
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions233210100150250300350223229

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
Teleop+16
Endgame+6
Fouls+6
AutonomousRed +11
6Leave9
9Coral scored#6
45Coral points31
51Total auto40
TeleoperatedBlue +27
26Coral scored#31
94Coral points111
3Processor algae#6
6Net algae#4
18Processor points36
24Net points16
42Algae points52
136Total teleop163
Reef
12L4#11
9L3#16
9L2#6
5L1 · trough#4
44Game pieces#47
BargeRed +10
36Cage & park26
36Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +6
0Foul points0
223Total score229

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2338
#13
85.20.4
75.975.5
Auto24.7
Teleop49.9
End10.6
blue by 5.5
341
#7
90.71.5
82.584.0
Auto15.2
Teleop63.6
End12.0
Second
1732
#23
81.70.4
80.079.7
Auto16.2
Teleop53.8
End11.7
red by 12.0
2052
#38
69.71.5
67.869.3
Auto10.2
Teleop49.3
End10.3
Third
7211
#18
70.00.4
61.561.1
Auto11.4
Teleop47.2
End11.5
red by 25.2
4329
#55
44.81.5
45.346.8
Auto10.5
Teleop32.4
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
99%Auto oddsEarned96%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
86%Coral oddsEarned93%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
99%Barge oddsEarned89%Barge oddsEarned